MMG WEEKLY – WHAT ARE THEY SAYING THIS WEEK?

MMG Weekly / Vantage Production.blueForecast for the Week

The labor sector will be front and center with Friday’s Jobs Report for April.

  • On Tuesday, look for the ISM Services Index, which is a national non-manufacturing index.
  • Employment data kicks off on Wednesday with the ADP National Employment Report, the prelude to the government’s Jobs Report. Also look for Productivity for the first quarter of 2015.
  • On Thursday, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be released, as usual.
  • Friday is the big day with the April Jobs Report, which includes Non-farm Payrolls, Hourly Earnings and the Unemployment Rate.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving—and when they are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further—a red “candle” means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green “candle” means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes were on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds moved lower in recent days. Home loan rates continue to hover near record lows and I will continue to monitor them closely.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.0% Mortgage Bond (Friday May 1, 2015)

Japanese Candlestick Chart
The Mortgage Market Guide View…

5 Tips for Unplugging During Your Vacation

If you are planning a vacation this summer, you may wonder if you’ll really be able to unplug. Pack these five tips into your vacation itinerary, and they will help you unplug on your holiday any time of year.

Cross-train and delegate. With a little training (and a little patience) people can be cross-trained to support job responsibilities in the office. This broadens everyone’s understanding of what each person does. It also provides a level of sustainability in the event someone has to be out for an extended period of time.

Get an intern. Interns are a great resource to offset seasonal swings in business staffing needs. High school and college interns can handle social media, general office duties and more.

Be flexible with your work week. For instance, working four 10-hour days can help you enjoy a long weekend getaway. You still have ample time to complete deadlines, but you gain time away, too.

Put it in writing, and communicate often. Schedule a vacation on your calendar and let people know well in advance. Make sure your out-of-office email message and voicemail state you are on vacation, when you will be back, and when people can expect a follow up from you. When you set those expectations, allow yourself enough time to manage your callbacks and email responses.

Leave the electronics at home. Do yourself a favor and really give yourself time to rejuvenate and unplug. Pack a paperback book, a deck of cards, or a notebook and pen to journal.

As always, feel free to pass these helpful tips along to your team, clients and colleagues!

Economic Calendar for the Week of May 4 – May 8

Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Tue. May 05
10:00
ISM Services Index
Apr
NA
56.5
Moderate
Wed. May 06
08:15
ADP National Employment Report
Apr
NA
189K
HIGH
Wed. May 06
08:30
Productivity
Q1
NA
-2.2%
Moderate
Thu. May 07
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
5/2
NA
NA
Moderate
Fri. May 08
08:30
Non-farm Payrolls
Apr
NA
126K
HIGH
Fri. May 08
08:30
Unemployment Rate
Apr
NA
5.5%
HIGH
Fri. May 08
08:30
Average Work Week
Apr
NA
34.5
HIGH
Fri. May 08
08:30
Hourly Earnings
Apr
NA
0.3%
HIGH

The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is without errors.

Mortgage Market Guide, LLC is the copyright owner or licensee of the content and/or information in this email, unless otherwise indicated. Mortgage Market Guide, LLC does not grant to you a license to any content, features or materials in this email. You may not distribute, download, or save a copy of any of the content or screens except as otherwise provided in our Terms and Conditions of Membership, for any purpose. The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is without errors.

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